Monday, September 5, 2011

Gado Gado Selasa, 6 September 2011

HARGA EMAS BERPOTENSI BREAK HIGHEST KEMBALI

Salam Winner,

IHSG ditutup pada level 3866.172, naik 24.441 points (+0.64%), dengan total value sebesar 6 trilyun, dimana asing net buy sebesar 59.8 milyard rupiah.

Dow : libur
Nasdaq : libur
Nikel : 20715 20915 -685
Timah : 23830 23980 -345
CPO : libur
OIL : 83.58 -2.87 -3.32%
GOLD : 1,901.00 +27.30 +1.46%

Tip trading buat hari ini Selasa, tanggal 6 September 2011 :
1. Angka inflasi pada bulan Agustus 2011 sbb :
*DJ Indonesia August CPI +4.79% On Year Vs +4 .61% In July
*DJ Indonesia August CPI +0.93% On Month Vs +0.67% In July(consensus 0.8)
‎*DJ Indonesia August Core CPI +5.15% On Year Vs +4.55% In July
2. Angka inflasi sekalipun sedikit diatas consensus, namun sepertinya market bisa menerimanya, sehingga tampak IHSG pada pembukaan ses i ke-1 saham-saham banking telah rally, namun sesi ke-2 setelah Eropa dibuka IHSG tidak kuat dan turun kembali, dimana Eropa turun 3-4%.
3, Angka pengangguran yang tinggi di AS mengakibatkan rontoknya semua saham-saham diberbagai belahan dunia.
4. Harga EMAS kembali naik dan ditutup pada level 1901 dan akan mencoba menuju level tertingginya yang sempat dicetak pada tanggal 23 Agt 2011 pada level 1912.
5. Sedangkan harga minyak dunia kembali rontok ke level 83 usd, demikian juga harga nikel dan timah turun lumayan banyak.
6. IHSG kemarin naik tepat tertahan oleh garis falling wedge dan MA20 pada level 3912, sehingga IHSG baru akan bagus bila mampu kemb ali bermain diatas 3915.
7. Sebaiknya tunggu kondisi dan arah market lebih jelas dulu, karena IHSG berpeluang menguji support kembali pada level 3725 kembali.

Happy trading and good luck.

IHSG :
Saat ini masih berada diatas MA200, namun diba wah MA50.
MACD nampak 2x gagal untuk mencoba golden cross.
Saat ini stochastic dan MACD down trend.
S : 3791... 3736, R : 3915... 3935.


AKRA :
Open=low, close=high.
Saham ini masih katagori strong bullish.
Stochastic berhasil golden cross.
Perhatikan jarak MA50 dan MA200 sangat berjauhan,
sedangkan arah MA5 mulai balik arah keatas kembali.
S : 2700...2575, R : 2850... 2875

UNTR :
Gerakan MACD mendekati golden cross.
Stocahstic kondisi up trend.
Asing banyak masuk saham ini.
Harga berada dalam support MA200, dan resist pada MA50.
S : 24.100... 23.900, R : 24.700... 24.850.

GOLD/EMAS :
Candle terlihat mencoba untuk menuju level tertingginya kembali pada 1912.
Berbeda dengan candle pada tanggal 23 Agt, dimana naik tertinggi 1912 tetapi turun dan tutup pada level 1753.
Saat ini gold tutup close mendekati high.
Sehingga berpeluang menciptakan harga tertinggi baru.
Ingat : Gerakan harga MAS saat ini berlawanan arah dengan Dow jones.
S : 1880… 1853, R : 1918… 1930.


ITMG membagikan dividen interim untuk tahun buku 2011 sebesar Rp 1,3 triliun atau setara
dengan Rp 1.168 persaham. Dividen tersebut sekitar 75% dari total laba bersih 1H11 Rp 1.7
triliun. Adapun jadwal pembagian dividen adalah sebagai berikut
Komentar: Kosensus harga wajar ITMG saat ini berada di level Rp56,300/sh
Amount Rp1,168
Cum Deviden di Pasar Reguler dan Negosiasi 28-Sep-11
Ex Deviden di Pasar Reguler dan Negosiasi 29-Sep-11
Tanggal pembayaran 14-Oct-11
ST Call ITMG : Buy

"Update: Tarif tol akan naik mulai tgl 28 sept 11 sekitar 8% - 12%."

Given the uncertainties involved with the proposed price renegotiation, we provide a short summary on other scenarios that are likely to occur.

1. PGAS will renegotiate the purchase price (input cost) and its cost of gas increase to USD5.5/mmbtu from current average of USD2.9/mmbtu and the company is able to fully pass on all the cost increase. This scenario will result in DCF-based fair value of IDR3,890/share.
2. PGAS will accept higher gas price, but can only pass on a USD1.3/mmbtu (50% of cost increase) to customers. This scenario will result in DCF-based fair value of IDR2,735/share.
3. PGAS is only successful in passing 25% on the cost increase (USD0.65/mmbtu) to customers. This worst-case scenario will result in fair value of IDR1,530/share.

buy star 305...apic hold...dc on


CHINA will be the NEXT target sesudah JERMAN (EURO) kata manuk ...

Kata Marc Faber: Sekarang lebih parah dibanding thn 2008

"Financial conditions are today WORSE than they were prior to the crisis in 2008," Faber told MarketWatch earlier this week. "The fiscal deficits have exploded and the political system [in both the U.S. and Europe has become completely dysfunctional. "

"Dysfunctional" may be the best word to describe revolving bailouts and further debt creation by the world's Western debtors, certainly as far as creditors are concerned.

And the biggest creditor of them all, China, has repeatedly expressed outraged at the handling of the sovereign debt crisis in Europe and the U.S., voicing at times their concerns publicly of the future purchasing power of its $2 trillion of dollar-denominated assets.

JSMR CMNP chart pattern today are both champion chart....


INVESTASI BUNUH DIRI:

"It's a SUICIDAL investment to own 10-year or 30-year U.S. Treasurys," Faber said of U.S. paper, adding that "U.S. government bonds are junk bonds."

If Beijing, who holds $2 trillion in dollar-denominated assets, is upset with the West's devaluation of the future purchasing power of those paper assets, Faber's point that if U.S. paper is indeed junk, than the preservation of capital should be priority one to every investor during these troubling times, leaving capital appreciation for a later time when central bankers finally must give up on the debt pyramid scheme, and stop the race to the bottom in the currency devaluation war.

By Yoga Rusmana
Sept. 6 (Bloomberg) -- Indonesia’s oil and gas regulator,
BPMigas, said it has asked state-owned gas distributor PT
Perusahaan Gas Negara to purchase the fuel from domestic
producers at a higher price of more than $3 per million British
thermal units.
Gas Negara currently buys some of its gas at $1.6 to $1.8
per million British thermal units, R. Priyono, chairman at
BPMigas, said in Jakarta today. BPMigas expects the new prices
to come into effect in next year’s contracts, Priyono said.

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